Sunday, March 16, 2008

On March 14, 2008, ...

my Saturday afternoon
Oil prices hit new high at USD110 and;
SGD rises to a new high against greenback @1.379 ie. USD.

So this led me to wonder whether the strong SGD is actually sheltering Singapore residents from external supply induced generated inflationary pressures?

So I did a preliminary study to compare the prices of oil, USD/SGD and at retail pump between Jan 1, 2008 and Mar 14, 2008.

My findings:-
  • Oil price was USD$100 on Jan 1, 2008.

  • USD/SGD was 1.4398 on that day.

  • Pump price was $2.006 per litre before discount in Jan. Today it is $2.046 per litre.
Conclusion
Between Jan 1 and Mar 14, the 10% increase in oil price is cushioned by USD depreciated by 4.22% against SGD and thus holding the pump prices to only 2% increase.

This is a very simplistic cursory observation but may still point to the fact we are enjoying the strength of SGD as consumers in this country.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

the fed is further slashed the rate by 25 basis point, hopefully to moderate its inflation, or u think the oil price going to hit $120 by Jun'08??
we don't spend much on USD, do we?
conclusion: money never enough to spend though we can get back little more on greenback :(

Anonymous said...

All the articles are very interesting. more please...

Edgar Wong said...

Thank you indeed.